Guest Column

Be ready for the revolution

It is time to lead the global Active LED display, as waiting for perfect conditions will be a decision to lose

Sanket Rambhia

India’s Active LED display market has crossed Rs2,000 crore and is growing at 15-20 per cent annually, driven by a rapid shift toward digital, immersive visual infrastructure. Airports are installing large-format video walls, smart city corridors are deploying real-time information displays, and corporate lobbies and retail flagships are replacing static surfaces with direct-view LED. What stands out is not just the pace of adoption, but its breadth. Demand is expanding across sectors simultaneously, making it increasingly difficult to serve efficiently through imports alone – and that gap is where the manufacturing opportunity lies.

Globally, the direct-view LED market was valued at $19.67 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $25.98 billion by 2030. Within this, India is among the fastest-scaling demand centres. Growth is not concentrated in a single vertical. Corporate deployments – boardrooms, command centres and high-end lobby installations – are driving demand for fine-pitch, high-specification displays. The Digital Out Of Home (DOOH) segment is expanding beyond metros into Tier II and III cities, widening the consumption base. Retail is increasingly adopting immersive LED environments as brands compete for attention at the point of sale. Meanwhile, government-led infrastructure – smart cities, metro rail systems and airport modernization – is generating large-scale, high-volume procurement.

Under the Smart Cities Mission alone, more than 8,000 projects worth Rs1.64 lakh crore have been planned, many involving digital display infrastructure. Entertainment and live events further add to demand, with LED displays rapidly replacing traditional staging and projection systems across concerts, sports venues and broadcast studios. This is not a market being driven by a single use case; it is being propelled by multiple high-growth sectors at once, creating sustained and diversified demand.

This surge is colliding with a structural supply imbalance. India continues to rely heavily on imports, particularly from China, which accounts for roughly 80 per cent of global manufacturing capacity and over 55 per cent of the display panel market. While this concentration has historically delivered cost efficiencies, it now represents a strategic risk. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions and rising costs have prompted global buyers to actively pursue a China+1 strategy – diversifying sourcing to reduce dependency on a single geography.

India is emerging as a serious contender in this shift. Buyers across Europe, the United States and West Asia are not evaluating India solely on cost, but also on supply chain resilience, lead-time stability and long-term risk mitigation. India’s improving trade relationships and growing reputation in electronics manufacturing are turning exploratory interest into concrete sourcing conversations.

Government policy is reinforcing this transition. The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, combined with the broader ‘Make in India’ initiative, has begun reshaping the economics of domestic electronics manufacturing. These central incentives are complemented by state-level support, including land allocation, power subsidies and capital expenditure assistance, aimed at attracting both large manufacturers and SMEs into the ecosystem.

Under the Smart Cities Mission alone, more than 8,000 projects worth Rs1.64 lakh crore have been planned, many involving digital display infrastructure

India has successfully executed a similar strategy in mobile phone manufacturing. Through phased manufacturing programmes, tariff structures favouring local assembly and progressive localisation targets, the country scaled rapidly to become the world’s second-largest smartphone producer within a decade. Electronics exports reached a record $47 billion in 2025, underscoring the effectiveness of coordinated policy and execution. The Active LED sector is now positioned to benefit from a comparable structural push.

However, critical gaps remain. India currently manufactures cabinets, power supplies and printed circuit boards domestically, and has developed increasing sophistication in final assembly. Yet, high-value components – including LED chips, driver ICs, receiver cards and video processing systems – are still largely imported, primarily from China. This dependency introduces both pricing volatility and supply risk.

Industry estimates suggest that developing a meaningful domestic component ecosystem could take three to five years, contingent on the successful execution of India’s semiconductor ambitions. This upstream capability is pivotal. As of late 2025, ten semiconductor projects across six states had been approved under India’s Semiconductor Mission, with total investments exceeding Rs1.6 lakh crore. The expanded ISM 2.0 programme, announced in the Union Budget 2026-27, aims to extend support beyond fabrication into equipment, materials and full-stack design.

If these projects are delivered on schedule, they could significantly reduce India’s reliance on imported components, enabling domestic manufacturers to control a larger share of the value chain and mitigate exposure to external supply shocks.

The export opportunity further strengthens the case for local manufacturing. Buyers in West Asia are already sourcing from India to hedge against supply disruptions. European procurement teams, increasingly guided by ESG and supply chain transparency requirements, are exploring India-origin alternatives. The US, which is actively reshaping its electronics sourcing strategy, represents a substantial long-term market for Indian manufacturers capable of meeting quality and scale expectations.

The fundamentals are aligning: strong and diversified domestic demand, supportive policy frameworks, a growing semiconductor pipeline and a global push toward supply chain diversification. However, the opportunity is time-bound. Competing manufacturing hubs are pursuing the same China+1 advantage, and execution risks in industrial policy remain a concern.

For Indian manufacturers, the imperative is clear – build capacity, deepen capabilities and move up the value chain now, rather than waiting for the ecosystem to fully mature. In a fast-moving market like Active LED displays, hesitation carries a cost. Waiting for perfect conditions is not strategic caution; it is effectively stepping aside while the opportunity is captured by others.

The author is managing director, LEDX Technology & Xtreme Media